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Fan Base: Archived: Britney Spears (#2)
Member Since: 8/18/2013
Posts: 8,633
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Quote:
Originally posted by Duca
The predictions keep dropping: "well over 500k" > "over 500k" > "a little over 500k" > "could sell 500k."
No other releases this year are expected to eclipse Timberlake. One Direction’s Midnight Memories, out Nov. 25, is forecast to sell 500,000 its first week. Lady Gaga’s Artpop, out this week, is predicted to sell roughly 300,000. And Britney Spears’ Britney Jean, out Dec. 3, “won’t do anything close to these numbers,” Caulfield says.
They overestimated Gaga so hopefully One Direction, too.
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He's predicting Gaga to sell 300,000 copies 
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Member Since: 3/30/2011
Posts: 9,689
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Quote:
Originally posted by Anthony K.
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Any who... At least there will promotion up until Vegas, which will be a bonus atop the holiday sales.
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Member Since: 3/15/2013
Posts: 3,737
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Member Since: 11/7/2009
Posts: 9,858
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I still have positive feelings of it doing a little over 300K... Even with artists that are bigger now and have bigger hits like Gaga and Katy doing worse than that...
302K and the Army will drag until we hit mid-2014 and the album will be yet to surpass 500k.
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Member Since: 8/6/2003
Posts: 50,977
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Quote:
Originally posted by Ozzy8923
I predicted 375K for Gaga.  But that was because her physical sales ended up being ABYSMAL, if the 100K preorder thing is true. More likely than not, her fans overestimated the amount of preorders and said it was 100K, so I assumed it would do perhaps another 50K or 60K digitally on the release week for a 150K or 160K digital total. Which, according the usual 40% digital and 60% physical, would be around 350K - 375K.
She probably ended up doing 100K total digitally and her preorders were probably somewhere along 30K. I have NO idea how her fans overestimated them so much.  |
That's not exactly accurate anymore, at least not for "big" artists - See Eminem's album, which sold over 450k digital copies out of a 792k total. I believe nowadays it's more of a 50/50 situation, at the very least. 
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Member Since: 11/7/2009
Posts: 9,858
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Quote:
Originally posted by Anthony K.
This 4th quarter sales are an abomination.
Thank God they didn't predict anything for Britney, since the trend seems to be "all the way down from here" lately.  |
Well, HDD did predict it would open worse than Femme Fatale.
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Member Since: 11/18/2008
Posts: 60,602
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I think first week sales will be 175-225k her fanbase has kinda shrunk too as people are fed up with her team. What if miley performs and is SMS and Britney performs with her?
Would y'all get pissed??
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Member Since: 8/6/2003
Posts: 50,977
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Quote:
Originally posted by Vini
I still have positive feelings of it doing a little over 300K... Even with artists that are bigger now and have bigger hits like Gaga and Katy doing worse than that...
302K and the Army will drag until we hit mid-2014 and the album will be yet to surpass 500k.
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I'd be here for that. 
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Member Since: 8/6/2003
Posts: 50,977
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Quote:
Originally posted by Vini
Well, HDD did predict it would open worse than Femme Fatale.
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Keith Cauffield from Billboard said that, not HDD.
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Member Since: 11/18/2008
Posts: 60,602
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And Britney Spears’ Britney Jean, out Dec. 3, “won’t do anything close to these numbers,” Caulfield says.
I'm glad we weren't out there predicting numbers for everyone
And we have the excuse if no hits anyways 
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Member Since: 11/7/2009
Posts: 9,858
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Quote:
Originally posted by Anthony K.
I'd be here for that. |
But really... Imagine how much would we brag if it opens with 300K... Above all the other pop girls...
The Army would be dragging up and down
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Member Since: 6/15/2012
Posts: 33,138
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Quote:
Originally posted by Anthony K.
That's not exactly accurate anymore, at least not for "big" artists - See Eminem's album, which sold over 450k digital copies out of a 792k total. I believe nowadays it's more of a 50/50 situation, at the very least. |
Eminem is a digital juggernaut. Well, he's an everything juggernaut. For Britney's last album, the 40%/60% applies so I would assume the same for BJ.
Quote:
Originally posted by Superbitch
I think first week sales will be 175-225k her fanbase has kinda shrunk too as people are fed up with her team. What if miley performs and is SMS and Britney performs with her?
Would y'all get pissed??
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That is my prediction as well.
And I wouldn't be fed up if she performed with Miley if she BRINGS it and looks HOT. But I would be upset if it was the first performance of the era.
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Member Since: 11/18/2008
Posts: 60,602
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Quote:
Originally posted by Vini
But really... Imagine how much would we brag if it opens with 300K... Above all the other pop girls...
The Army would be dragging up and down |
I think we should just lay low in here until the predictions come that week 
At this point we should expect the unexpected
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Member Since: 11/7/2009
Posts: 9,858
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Quote:
Originally posted by Superbitch
And Britney Spears’ Britney Jean, out Dec. 3, “won’t do anything close to these numbers,” Caulfield says.
I'm glad we weren't out there predicting numbers for everyone
And we have the excuse if no hits anyways |
At least we have the no hits card and the barely no promo card.
But really, Britney could outdo her forecasts with one decent performance, remember how Circus outdid its early predictions with just one GMA performance, which was a really good one. It started at 350k-ish (I'm not quite sure) then moved up several times until it was "north 475k" and it ended up doing 505k.
BJ could start with 200K predictions, then move up until it hits "top 290K" and it sells 300K. WHICH WOULD BE SLAYING!
But hey, we are getting that Blackout 2.0 after all, including the #2 peak.
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Member Since: 3/15/2013
Posts: 3,737
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Quote:
Originally posted by D_Man3379
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this is so DEPRESSING.
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Member Since: 6/15/2012
Posts: 33,138
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The Army has been very conservative with the BJ predictions. I remember the FF predictions thread (when I was a lurker) and people were throwing around 400K, 500K, and even 800K.
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Member Since: 7/21/2007
Posts: 17,441
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i think 100% that its Britneys vocals on "Bang Bang"
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Member Since: 11/18/2008
Posts: 60,602
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Quote:
Originally posted by Vini
At least we have the no hits card and the barely no promo card.
But really, Britney could outdo her forecasts with one decent performance, remember how Circus outdid its early predictions with just one GMA performance, which was a really good one. It started at 350k-ish (I'm not quite sure) then moved up several times until it was "north 475k" and it ended up doing 505k.
BJ could start with 200K predictions, then move up until it hits "top 290K" and it sells 300K. WHICH WOULD BE SLAYING!
But hey, we are getting that Blackout 2.0 after all, including the #2 peak.
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How much did legendout when it came out???
Wow, I had forgotten she sold that much with circus. Everyone was rooting for ha again and womanizer was doing amazing everywhere I miss that feeling 
Remember the iconic... She's back!!!!
People like to trash the circus era but it really slayed>>>
And then circus(single) and video came out and 
Ugh, 2008 was such a good year for the pop gorls.
Gaga exploded and was everywhere. Bey was Sasha fierce, Britney was the ringleader, rih was slaying with GGGB
Ahhh the memories.
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Member Since: 11/18/2008
Posts: 60,602
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Quote:
Originally posted by Ozzy8923
The Army has been very conservative with the BJ predictions. I remember the FF predictions thread (when I was a lurker) and people were throwing around 400K, 500K, and even 800K. |
Oh lol I'm glad we have been. After seeing the backfire on other fanbases
Is better to be surprised anyways as we are prepared for the worse and if is good then 
800k
I remember I was expecting at least 375k.
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Member Since: 8/6/2003
Posts: 50,977
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Guys, guys, Britney Jean is not doing anything over 200k. We should be lucky if it manages to sell 200k, and that will be it. Sure, we could drag until the next millenium if it somehow outdid Katy, Miley and Gaga, but that's not gonna happen.
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