Quote:
Originally posted by Reza
can you explain why? im not trolling I really want to know.
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Oh sure.
Right now the narrative is that no matter how big of a lead Clinton has, it seems to disappear right at the start of a caucus or primary. For the past month even though she says he's not in this race mathematically he keeps building momentum, steam, is starting to overtake her in (some) national polls, etc. She has long claimed New York has her stomping ground and said she'd never lose here. She hasn't lost a closed primary yet, hasn't lost a diverse primary yet apart from Michigan, and hasn't been beaten in any of her "home" states (the others being Illinois and Arkansas). If she loses in a place where she was senator for 8 years to a fringe candidate, then no matter if she wins the nomination or not it'll spell danger for her campaign because the people she closely worked with for nearly a decade wouldn't trust her over a Vermont independent.
She also has the structural advantage so a loss in New York would scare the Clinton campaign and also put Sanders somewhat back in the hunt for the nomination. His aides long said she does well only in a single region (a lie) but a loss there would fortify it. It's akin to Rubio losing Florida. You would be literally called to drop out at that point
She needs to win and win big. For her delegate count and her campaign psyche. Because if you can't win in the place where everyone should love you, where do you win at?
edit: bye Retro I'm not talking about winning for the nomination but for the ramifications afterwards. But if she did lose NY she wouldn't be the nominee because the only way she loses NY is if something catastrophic happened to her campaign which ends it anyway