If Rihanna or Katy released a Jazz album (or anything without a #1 producer) it wouldn't even sell 10k so idg why this is still a discussion.
Anyways, I imagine 1/10 @ most of the people who bought ARTPOP would buy this. I imagine about 50k Tony fans would actually care about him enough to still support this. So around 75k; anywhere from 50-100k is my prediction for opening week.
They'll be blocked at #2 by Kenny Chesney anyways, so.
Moving on.