|
Chart News: Katy 450-475K, Em 350-375K, Robin 225-250K, Gaga 200-225K
ATRL Contributor
Member Since: 11/5/2011
Posts: 100,491
|
Katy 450-475K, Em 350-375K, Robin 225-250K, Gaga 200-225K
Quote:
"Roar" to lead Hot Digital Songs
Artist, Song - Forecast (% Gain/Decrease)
Katy Perry, "Roar" - 450,000-475,000 (15%-20%)
Eminem, "Berzerk" - 350,000-375,000 (DEBUT)
Robin Thicke, "Blurred Lines" - 225,000-250,000 (down 1-10%)
Lady Gaga, "Applause" - 200,000-225,000 (up 20%-40%)
Miley Cyrus, "Wrecking Ball" - 175,000-200,000 (up 95%-120%)
Miley Cyrus, "We Can't Stop" - 150,000 (up 5%)
Drake, "Hold On, We're Going Home" - 125,000-150,000 (35%-70%)
Macklemore & Ryan Lewis, featuring Mary Lambert, "Same Love" - 100,000-110,000 (up 10%-25%)
Robin Thicke, "Give It 2 U" - 75,000-100,000 (up 210%-320%)
Justin Timberlake, "Mirrors" - 70,000 (up 60%)
Bruno Mars, "Gorilla" - 55,000-60,000 (up 175%-200%)
Kanye West, "Blood On the Leaves" - 25,000-50,000 (up 150%-400%)
Drake, "Started From the Bottom" - 25,000-50,000 (up 20%-140%)
|
Quote:
Robin Thicke vs. Katy Perry
Presently, it's too early to tell whether Thicke will add a lucky 13th week at No. 1 with "Lines" or Perry will notch her eighth Hot 100 leader with "Roar." The race simply looks that close.
Combining the sales projections above and taking building Nielsen BDS data for airplay and streaming (the components which join sales to form the Hot 100's three measurement metrics) and projecting it over a full week, the songs are in extremely close proximity. (On the current Hot 100, "Lines" leads "Roar" by 13% in overall points. Last week, "Lines" sported just a 3% advantage.)
"Lines" should still lead the Radio Songs airplay chart next week, although it's declining in points, while "Roar" should pounce into the top 10. Both songs are projected to gain in streaming, with their streaming sums potentially not far apart once a full week of data is compiled.
Meanwhile, Eminem, with the expected high sales for "Berzerk," along with early airplay and streaming (it ranks just below the 75- and 50-position thresholds for Radio Songs and Streaming Songs, respectively, on each building chart as of this posting) appears likely to debut in the Hot 100's top five, jockeying for position with Cyrus and Lady Gaga in the region.
|
|
|
|
Banned
Member Since: 4/30/2011
Posts: 38,486
|
|
|
|
Member Since: 8/16/2010
Posts: 19,703
|
|
|
|
Banned
Member Since: 2/6/2012
Posts: 18,398
|
Gaga doing 200K+ again is decent.
|
|
|
Member Since: 3/15/2013
Posts: 25,228
|
Predictions have been so off lately all around but good for Katy.
Quote:
The other song headed for a high sales start is Eminem's "Berzerk," which should start with a lofty 350,000-375,000.
|
The fact it was released a day after it was announced.
|
|
|
Member Since: 3/22/2012
Posts: 9,573
|
Congrats to Katy
I was expecting less for Gaga, it's an OK number
|
|
|
Member Since: 8/28/2012
Posts: 34,863
|
Over 200k for Gaga
|
|
|
Member Since: 8/19/2013
Posts: 3,320
|
What, why are the numbers so high? Whatever the reason I like it
|
|
|
Member Since: 11/29/2006
Posts: 4,549
|
Give me that 8th #1 already
|
|
|
Member Since: 8/17/2011
Posts: 9,573
|
Quote:
Lady Gaga's "Applause," at No. 4 on the Hot 100 this week, is forecast to sell 200,000-225,000.
|
Selling same amount, her numbers didnt decrease.
|
|
|
Member Since: 8/19/2013
Posts: 1,995
|
I was expecting 100k for Gaga tbqh
|
|
|
Member Since: 10/7/2011
Posts: 6,081
|
Katy easily slaying.
|
|
|
Member Since: 12/26/2011
Posts: 14,707
|
Katy and Miley
|
|
|
Member Since: 8/16/2010
Posts: 19,703
|
Quote:
Both songs are projected to gain in streaming, with their streaming sums potentially not far apart once a full week of data is compiled.
|
Fine, fresh, fierce, we got it on lock!
|
|
|
Member Since: 5/7/2012
Posts: 8,404
|
I slightly hope Robin keeps her from getting another #1, I love Katy but she's getting these #1's a lil too fast for my liking.
|
|
|
Member Since: 5/14/2011
Posts: 14,089
|
I did not expect much for Gaga so that's a surprise. Not very impressive though.
|
|
|
Member Since: 1/27/2006
Posts: 51,546
|
Katheryn Jackson II helping out every body with her monster sales. What a kind of Theresa?
And GaGa lifted to what #3 on iTunes after the performance? At the very least y'all should've expected 200k, ki.
|
|
|
Member Since: 11/6/2010
Posts: 27,791
|
Good lord.
|
|
|
Member Since: 3/17/2007
Posts: 18,147
|
that cannot be true
Katy, please stop slaying
|
|
|
ATRL Contributor
Member Since: 8/20/2011
Posts: 18,900
|
Quote:
The other song headed for a high sales start is Eminem's "Berzerk," which should start with a lofty 350,000-375,000
|
Quote:
Meanwhile, Eminem, with the expected high sales for "Berzerk," along with early airplay and streaming (it ranks just below the 75- and 50-position thresholds for Radio Songs and Streaming Songs
|
|
|
|
|
|