On AOTY:
Even if Gaga does get nominated (which I doubt), I doubt she'd win. That isn't meant to be negative. Gaga has a lot of success and to be nominated two years alone was just fantastic. To miss out on this year would not be bad, and might drive her to make her next album even better
Just that critically, Gaga has really gotten stomped on. Kanye, Adele, and Tony all seem likely. But I guess we'll find out. If Gaga does get nominated, I'd be fine with that. Even if she doesn't win AOTY.