#14 So it's actually an improvement from her previous era

So the fact that Adele is bubbling under at #14 with a 40m airplay audience deems that it's nearly impossible to debut with no sales and streaming with the current formula.

I think we'll be seeing more #1 debuts if artists release their lead single's music vids the same week. Katy, Gaga, and Taylor all have a chance with their next eras.

I changed the title

Generic.

Drag me I guess.

Estimated % Influence of Components on Hot 100:

1. The Hills = 21% Sales + 31% Airplay + 48% Streaming
2. Hotline Bling = 32% Sales + 29% Airplay + 39% Streaming
3. What Do You Mean? = 17% Sales + 35% Airplay + 48% Streaming
4. Stitches = 22% Sales + 35% Airplay + 43% Streaming
5. Wildest Dreams = 27% Sales + 50% Airplay + 23% Streaming
6. 679 = 16% Sales + 24% Airplay + 60% Streaming
7. Can't Feel My Face = 14% Sales + 32% Airplay + 54% Streaming
8. Locked Away = 17% Sales + 42% Airplay + 41% Streaming
9. Watch Me (Whip / Nae Nae) = 14% Sales + 2% Airplay + 84% Streaming
10. Perfect = 58% Sales + 3% Airplay + 39% Streaming

11. Lean On = 17% Sales + 33% Airplay + 50% Streaming
12. Jumpman = 16% Sales + 4% Airplay + 80% Streaming
13. Downtown = 32% Sales + 28% Airplay + 40% Streaming
14. Good For You = 14% Sales + 36% Airplay + 50% Streaming
15. Ex's & Oh's = 32% Sales + 44% Airplay + 24% Streaming
16. Same Old Love = 31% Sales + 20% Airplay + 49% Streaming
17. Renegades = 20% Sales + 51% Airplay + 29% Streaming
18. Like I'm Gonna Lose You = 33% Sales + 32% Airplay + 35% Streaming
19. On My Mind = 25% Sales + 32% Airplay + 43% Streaming
20. Here = 21% Sales + 36% Airplay + 43% Streaming

So for the Top 20 this week = 24% Sales + 30% Airplay + 46% Streaming

Streaming > Airplay > Sales

Well sales rose a little anyway. Given Adele's huge numbers in both Digital Sales and Streaming next week, and Hello's super-rapid rise in Airplay, I wonder how her breakdown will look?

18. Like I'm Gonna Lose You = 33% Sales + 32% Airplay + 35% Streaming

Well-rounded hit.

If my current estimations are correct she would be at

64% sales, 32% streams and 4% airplay

Even if she were #1 on airplay it would be less than 10%, because her sales and streaming are so massive.

any predictions for the upcoming H100?

1. Hello

Bookmark me.

Wanted to do them tomorrow, but I threw some numbers together

1. Hello 1869 (debut)
2. Sorry 552 (debut)
3. Hotline Bling 531 (-1)
4. The Hills 488 (-3)
5. What Do You Mean? 416 (-2)
6. Stitches 355 (-2)
7. Wildest Dreams 307 (-2)
8. 679 305 (-2)
9. Can't Feel My Face 257 (-2)
10. Locked Away 251 (-2)
11. Watch Me 251 (-2)
12. Jumpman 233
13. Ex's And Oh's 232 (+2)
14. Like I'm Gonna Lose You 214 (+4)
15. Lean On 213 (-4)
16. Downtown 211 (-3)
17. Same Old Love 198 (-1)
18. Good For You 196 (-4)
19. On My Mind 196
20. Here 194
21. Renegades 190 (-4)

If Justin debuts at #2 again...

I don't think he will..I think he'll be at 4 or 5..

Na not possible that he will be that low.

Seems pretty certain at this point that he will have 250k+ sales and 18M+ streams and that will be enough for #3 at least, probably #2.
HB would need a huge streaming gain (5M) from the Vevo release to stay at #2.

and that's what I said before, this is like almost 4 usual weeks at number one in points

Additionally, Sorry did better on Spotify. We'll see exactly how much Sorry is beating HB with tomorrow's weeklies, but the former has been ahead for most of the week there. I'm personally very impressed.

When was the last time #1 & #2 both debuted?.....(Apart from the Beatles)