I don't think HOME will do poorly outside of the US. It might take a hit in Asia, but otherwise it should be fine. 170-200M in the US and 200M foreign would be cute. For some reason, I keep thinking it will have success similar to The Croods/Monsters vs. Aliens.
HOME (the movie) will flop.
HOME (the soundtrack) will flop.
R8 era will underperform because all the hype went into Home, a flopping children songs albums.